However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. Question asked is stated in notes field. The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. conservative party Labour Party Education. In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. Notable recent election polls Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. Stay informed. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. Relevance is automatically assessed so some headlines not qualifying as Scottish Opinion Poll news might appear - please feel free to contact us regarding any persistent issues. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Don't miss out! The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . All Rights Reserved. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. In all polls the dont knows are removed. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . : medium.com. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. We will not share your email address with any third parties. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. /Which party are you most inclined to support? By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. The latest Panelbase survey. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. We will not share your email address with any third parties. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London.
Ivan Cleary Family Tree, Articles L